夜航船

nothing without skin in the game

No muscles without strength, friendship without trust, opinion without consequence, change without aesthetics, age without values, life without effort, water without thirst, food without nourishment, love without sacrifice, power without fairness, facts without rigor, statistics without logic, mathematics without proof, teaching without experience, politeness without warmth, values without embodiment, degrees without erudition, militarism without fortitude, progress without civilization, friendship without investment, virtue without risk, probability without ergodicity, wealth without exposure, complication without depth, fluency without content, decision without asymmetry, science without skepticism, religion without tolerance” and, most of all: nothing without skin in the game.

Skin in the Game

说实话有很多没看懂,但核心意大概理解了,就是任何事情,如果需要承担风险,或者有自身利益在其中,做出的决定会更加清晰,正确。这一条后来单独长成了 建议的可信度取决于建议者承担多少后果,而清单里的 decision without asymmetry 则通向 不对称比预测重要

同时对Lindy有了更加深刻的理解,时间之神的人间行走,轻易解决了世界被乌龟驮着,下面被一只更大的乌龟驮着,以此循环的meta-meta-meta问题。that is, 时间是最终的衡量者,那些能够在长时间段生存下来的非生命事物(想法,公司,书籍等等)也就通过lindy的考验,且每多存在一天,接下来继续存在的可能性就进一步增加。说的正是 林迪效应:存续时间本身提供了一种信息

lindy的起源是nyc的一家deli店,可惜之前不知道,之后会去朝圣的。


然而:

Lindy deli在skin in the game这本书发布的当天关门倒闭了哈哈哈哈哈哈哈哈哈哈哈哈哈哈哈哈哈哈哈哈哈哈哈哈哈哈哈哈哈哈哈哈哈哈哈哈哈哈哈哈哈哈哈哈哈哈哈哈哈哈

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